High incidence of thrombotic complications in hospitalized COVID-19 patients in the first and second wave
Incidence of thrombotic complications and overall survival in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in the second and first wave
Introduction and methods
Coagulopathy and high incidences of thrombotic complications have been linked with severe COVID-19 [1-3]. Treatment of hospitalized COVID-19 patients has evolved since the first wave. In response to the high rates of thrombotic complications, guidelines were adjusted to improve proper diagnosis of venous thromboembolism (VTE) and appropriate treatment with low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) thromboprophylaxis in COVID-19 patients [4-7]. Remdesivir was suggested to be beneficial in shortening time to recovery in hospitalized COVID-19 patients, compared to placebo [8]. It was also shown that dexamethasone reduces mortality in critically ill patients [9]. It is unknown whether these treatment developments have resulted in less thrombotic complications and mortality in COVID-19 patients in second wave, compared to the first wave. This observational study assessed the incidence of thrombotic complications and overall mortality in COVID-19 patients in the Netherlands in the second wave and compared results with data from patients hospitalized in the first wave.
A total of 947 adult COVID-19 patients admitted between September 1st and November 30th 2020 to eight hospitals in the Netherlands were included in this study. 860 Patients were admitted to general wards, 358 patients to the ICU and 271 patients were admitted to both general ward and ICU. Mean age was 66 (SD 13) years, 64% were male and 13% used therapeutic anticoagulation at admission. All patients received pharmacological thromboprophylaxis according to local protocols. Remdesivir and dexamethasone were given to ward patients with need for supplemental oxygen. Patients on ICU were not treated with remdesivir [10]. Incidence of thrombotic complications and mortality were compared with data from a previous study in 579 COVID-19 patients hospitalized in the Netherlands in the first wave (between February 24th and April 26th 2020) [11].
Main results
- Cumulative incidences, adjusted for competing risk of death, of all thrombotic complications in patients hospitalized in the second wave (ward and ICU combined) were 12% (95%CI 9.8-15) after 10 days, 16% (95%CI 13-19) after 20 days and 21% (95%CI 17-25) after 30 days. 144 Patients (15%) died after a median of 14 days (IQR 7-22).
- Adjusted cumulative incidences of all thrombotic complications in patients on general wards after 10, 20, and 30 days were 8.6% (95%CI 6.6-11), 11% (95%CI 8.6-15), and 13% (95%CI 9.1-18), respectively. Adjusted cumulative incidences of all thrombotic complications in patients on the ICU after 10, 20, and 30 days were 13% (95%CI 8.8-17), 21% (95%CI 15-28), and 26% (95%CI 19-36), respectively.
- Baseline characteristics of patients in the first and second wave were comparable. Risk of overall mortality in COVID-19 patients (ward and ICU combined) was lower in the second wave compared to the first wave (adjusted HR: 0.53, 95%CI 0.41-0.70). Adjusted HRs in ward patients and ICU patients separately were 0.41 (95%CI 0.29-0.59) and 0.80 (95%CI 0.54-1.2), respectively.
- Adjusted HRs for any thrombotic complications in the second wave compared to the first wave were 0.89 (95%CI 0.65-1.2) in all patients, 1.8 (95%CI 1.1-3.2) in ward patients and 0.46 (95%CI 0.30-0.70) in ICU patients.
- VTEs were diagnosed after a median of 6 days after hospital admission in the first wave and after a median of 4 days in the second wave.
Conclusion
This observational study showed that risk of overall mortality in COVID-19 patients hospitalized in the Netherlands was lower in the second wave, compared with the first wave. Cumulative incidences of thrombotic complications remained high in the second wave. Cumulative incidences of thrombotic complications among all patients (ward and ICU combined) in the second wave were comparable with those in the first wave. However, an increased cumulative incidence was found in ward patients in the second wave compared to the first wave, while a decrease in cumulative incidence was observed in ICU patients. These data underline the need for provision of appropriate thromboprophylaxis in hospitalized COVID-19 patients and a low threshold for diagnostic imaging upon suspicion of thrombotic complications. Randomized trials are needed to examine whether treatment with anticoagulants results in lower incidences of thrombotic complications in COVID-19 patients.
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